Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Luciano Darderi		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.70
	1.26	3.67
	1.29	4
	1.3	3.56	Watch
	1.27	3.95
	1.29	3.74	Watch
	1.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.16)	3.76 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 35.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
74.7%

Dane Sweeny
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dane Sweeny's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sweeny will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 123.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sweeny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Darderi is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Harry Wendelken	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Dane Sweeny
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Corentin Moutet	Moutet C. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Christopher OConnell - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	2:1

Upcoming Matches