Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Luciano Darderi		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
	1.30	3.50	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.32	3.35
	1.33	3.76
	1.29	3.46	Watch
	1.29	3.70
	1.31	3.53	Watch
	1.30	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
73.1%

Harry Wendelken
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Luciano Darderi - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Wendelken will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Wendelken (5.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%). Wendelken (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 196.

Recent performances by Darderi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wendelken is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Darderi is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW
- Harry Wendelken
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Remy Bertola - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Stefan Kozlov - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW

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