Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	17:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:40	HBO Max
Bulgaria	18:40	HBO Max
Croatia	17:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	17:40	HBO Max
Denmark	17:40	HBO Max
Finland	18:40	HBO Max
France	17:40	HBO Max
Hungary	17:40	HBO Max
Moldova	18:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	17:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	17:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	17:40	HBO Max
Norway	17:40	HBO Max
Poland	17:40	HBO Max
Romania	18:40	HBO Max
Serbia	17:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	17:40	HBO Max
Spain	17:40	HBO Max
Sweden	17:40	HBO Max


	Luciano Darderi		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	26	1.01	Watch
	12.5	1.02
	16	1.01	Watch
	16.95	1.01	Watch
	15	1.02
	25	1.01	Watch
	26	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.64 ↑ (15)	1.01 ↓ (1.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
4.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
95.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

6.4%

93.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Sets - Darderi (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 34. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

Darderi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Eliot Spizzirri	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLW?
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Reilly Opelka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Sinner J. retired ✺
16.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?WW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
31.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia