Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	23:15	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:15	HBO Max
Bulgaria	00:15	HBO Max
Croatia	23:15	HBO Max
Czech Republic	23:15	HBO Max
Denmark	23:15	HBO Max
Finland	00:15	HBO Max
France	23:15	HBO Max
Hungary	23:15	HBO Max
Moldova	00:15	HBO Max
Montenegro	23:15	HBO Max
Netherlands	23:15	HBO Max
North Macedonia	23:15	HBO Max
Norway	23:15	HBO Max
Poland	23:15	HBO Max
Romania	00:15	HBO Max
Serbia	23:15	HBO Max
Slovenia	23:15	HBO Max
Spain	23:15	HBO Max
Sweden	23:15	HBO Max


	Luciano Darderi		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.69	2.29
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.63	2.42	Watch
	1.72	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	2.34 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
59.1%

Eliot Spizzirri
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	0%	13.2%

Luciano Darderi - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 34. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 127.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spizzirri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 56.78%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLW??
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Stefan Dostanic - Eliot Spizzirri	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Lloyd Harris - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Eliot Spizzirri	Sakamoto R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLW?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	✺

Luciano Darderi - Eliot Spizzirri