Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TODI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday


	Luciano Darderi		Lucas Gerch

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.4	3.05
	1.34	3.06	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)	3 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
68.8%

Lucas Gerch
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Gerch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Gerch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luciano Darderi - Lucas Gerch Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Darderi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gerch in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
28.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
27.07.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
14.07.23	Benoit Paire - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
13.08.23	Lucas Gerch - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Lucas Gerch - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Lucas Gerch - Johannes Haerteis	2:0 ✺
10.08.23	Lucas Gerch - Facundo Yunis	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Lucas Gerch - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.09.19	Lucas Gerch - Luciano Darderi	2:1

Upcoming Matches