Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Luciano Darderi		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.56	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
60.3%

Vit Kopriva
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vit Kopriva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 57. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 106.

Darderi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kopriva in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Marrakech
03.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Marrakech
03.04.25	Vit Kopriva - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Vit Kopriva - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2
11.10.23	Vit Kopriva - Luciano Darderi	1:2
28.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2
31.03.22	Vit Kopriva - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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