Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: TRIESTE (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luciano Darderi		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	2.02
	1.84	1.89	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.58)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
51.4%

Francesco Passaro
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luciano Darderi - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Darderi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Passaro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Benoit Paire - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
13.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Facundo Juarez - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
08.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWW?L
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Daniel Altmaier - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Jelle Sels - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
04.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Denis Kudla - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Luciano Darderi	2:1

Luciano Darderi - Francesco Passaro

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Preview

Form

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