Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Luciano Darderi		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.15	1.6
	2.41	1.64
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.22	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.82)	1.63 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
41.7%

Yannick Hanfmann
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yannick Hanfmann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 16. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 55.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hanfmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hanfmann will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 1.7:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.34%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Yannick Hanfmann - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	3:2 ✺
26.05.26	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Mallorca
21.06.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
18.06.26	Alexander Zverev - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Joao Fonseca - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover
ATP Santiago
01.03.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2
ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2
04.02.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2

Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide