Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Wrexham, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Lucie Havlickova		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.86	Watch
	1.4	2.77
	1.44	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.72)	2.75 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucie Havlickova
66.3%

Francesca Curmi
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucie Havlickova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucie Havlickova's performance.

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesca Curmi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucie Havlickova than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucie Havlickova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesca Curmi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucie Havlickova - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Havlickova is ranked WTA: 462. Curmi is ranked WTA: 321.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Havlickova could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Havlickova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucie Havlickova
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Lucie Havlickova - Amandine Monnot	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lucie Havlickova - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Mia Pohankova - Lucie Havlickova	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriela Knutson - Lucie Havlickova	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Lucie Havlickova - Anouck Vrancken Peeters	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Francesca Curmi - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Tatiana Pieri - Francesca Curmi	Curmi F. retired ✺
15.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Verena Meliss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.07.23	Lucie Havlickova - Francesca Curmi	1:2
06.07.23	Lucie Havlickova - Francesca Curmi	1:2

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