Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	2.38	1.57
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.55
	2.62	1.55
	2.13	1.66	Watch
	2.50	1.53
	2.46	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.13)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
39.2%

Katerina Siniakova
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludmilla Samsonova's form might have worsened.

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katerina Siniakova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katerina Siniakova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 37. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 34.

Samsonova has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Siniakova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Siniakova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Siniakova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Berlin
15.06.26	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA London
08.06.26	Harriet Dart - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jil Belen Teichmann	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
18.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin
17.06.26	Jessica Pegula - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled
26.06.24	Katerina Siniakova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1
WTA Montreal
08.08.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
WTA Bad Homburg
30.06.23	Katerina Siniakova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1

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