Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday


	Lukas Klein		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.16	1.67
	2.23	1.65
	2.25	1.67
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Klein
43%

Matteo Arnaldi
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Klein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Klein than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lukas Klein - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Klein will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Klein is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaldi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Klein could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Klein
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Cem Ilkel - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Lukas Klein - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
28.02.23	Lukas Klein - Antoine Escoffier	Canceled ✺
ATP Marseille
21.02.23	Lukas Klein - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
20.02.23	Lukas Klein - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LL?LW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Lloyd Harris - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?LWL

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