Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Daniil Medvedev		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.55	2.62
	1.56	2.62
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.59	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.24)	2.59 ↓ (4.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
62.9%

Matteo Arnaldi
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Medvedev's form might have worsened.

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	0%	39.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Medvedev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Dominik Koepfer - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Christopher OConnell - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Cazaux	Arnaldi M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0

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