Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Lloyd Harris		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.38	2.95
	1.39	2.95
	1.39	3.08
	1.44	2.62
	1.38	2.88	Watch
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)	2.92 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
67.8%

Matteo Arnaldi
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Lloyd Harris - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Lloyd Harris will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Harris is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arnaldi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Harris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Harris will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
04.02.23	Lloyd Harris - Raul Brancaccio	Brancaccio R. walkover ✺
03.02.23	Lloyd Harris - Roberto Marcora	2:0 ✺
01.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	Ivan Gakhov - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Lloyd Harris - Marton Fucsovics	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WWWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Simon Carr - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Salvatore Caruso - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

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