Match Info

Date: 10 August 2022, Wednesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.4	1.55
	2.45	1.47
	2.65	1.5
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.67	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
37.3%

Matteo Arnaldi
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Lukas Neumayer - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
09.08.22	Ivan Gakhov - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
08.08.22	Lukas Neumayer - Marco De Rossi	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Miceli	2:0 ✺
02.08.22	Otto Virtanen - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
01.08.22	Lukas Neumayer - Mathieu Perchicot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
08.08.22	Federico Gaio - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
05.08.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
03.08.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
01.08.22	Flavio Cobolli - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
29.07.22	Raul Brancaccio - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

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