Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Roman Safiullin		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.23	1.75
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.33)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
42.5%

Henrique Rocha
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rocha will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 226. Rocha is ranked ATP: 126.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rocha will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.52%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Felix Gill - Roman Safiullin	Gill F. Retired ✺
13.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Joao Dinis Silva	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW?WW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches