Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.76
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	2.69 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
65.3%

Stefano Travaglia
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lukas Neumayer - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 166. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 300.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neumayer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neumayer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Jurij Rodionov - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Jerome Kym	Neumayer L. walkover ✺
30.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWL?W
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jakub Filip	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	0:2

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