Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.51)	2.04 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
54%

Toby Samuel
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samuel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 278. Samuel is ranked ATP: 171.

Nagal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samuel is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Robin Bertrand - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Menelaos Efstathiou - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide