Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Lukas Pokorny		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.61
	2.36	1.61
	2.28	1.55
	2.2	1.62
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.12	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (3.35)	1.6 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
41.9%

Guy Den Ouden
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Pokorny's performance.

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guy Den Ouden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lukas Pokorny - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pokorny will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pokorny: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lukas Pokorny will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 522. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 160.

Pokorny has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Den Ouden is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Pokorny will win today's game, with odds of 3.35.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Lukas Pokorny - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Lukas Pokorny - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Garrett Johns - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Maxim Shin - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Guy Den Ouden - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
25.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?LW

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