Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MORELOS (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday


	Luke Saville		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.78
	1.93	1.84
	1.9	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Saville
48.8%

Robert Strombachs
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Luke Saville - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Saville will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Strombachs will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Strombachs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Facundo Mena - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Luke Saville - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Luke Saville - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Kyle Kang - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW
- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Michail Pervolarakis - Robert Strombachs	Pervolarakis M. retired ✺
09.04.23	Robert Strombachs - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Jorge Brian Panta - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.23	Lukas Pokorny - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Robert Strombachs - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 ?LLLW

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