Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Adam Walton

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.93	1.83
	2.00	1.94
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.85	Watch
	1.90	1.78	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
48.4%

Adam Walton
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mackenzie McDonald - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Walton will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walton: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Walton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 145. Walton is ranked ATP: 85.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.91%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Patrick Kypson - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1 ✺
25.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Christopher OConnell	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Adam Walton
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Adam Walton - Dino Prizmic	1:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Adam Walton - Nick Kyrgios	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Adam Walton - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Adam Walton - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.10.24	Adam Walton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0
18.10.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Adam Walton	2:0

Mackenzie McDonald - Adam Walton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide