Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Brandon Holt

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.87
	1.14	5.20	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	3.25 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
70.4%

Brandon Holt
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackenzie McDonald's performance.

Brandon Holt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Holt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Holt than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - McDonald (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 99. Holt is ranked ATP: 115.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.48%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW
- Brandon Holt
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Brandon Holt - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Brandon Holt - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Rei Sakamoto - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Lloyd Harris - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt	2:1
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Brandon Holt - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide