Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Mackenzie McDonald		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.36
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.36)	2.39 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
60.3%

David Goffin
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Goffin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for David Goffin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Goffin will win (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Goffin (votes: 7 - 53.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - McDonald (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Goffin (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Goffin (votes: 9 - 56.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 95. Goffin is ranked ATP: 60.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Goffin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, McDonald is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	George Loffhagen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- David Goffin
ATP Washington
22.07.25	David Goffin - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Martin Landaluce - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Rinky Hijikata - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.25	Andrey Rublev - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.21	Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin	3:0
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.13	David Goffin - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide