Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Mackenzie McDonald		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.52	2.57	Watch
	1.48	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.42)	2.42 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
61.3%

Hugo Grenier
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Mackenzie McDonald - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 113. Grenier is ranked ATP: 179.

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.11%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Hugo Grenier	Galan D. E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	George Loffhagen - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
18.04.22	Hugo Grenier - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2

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