Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Athens, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.76	Watch
	2.20	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
45.5%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mackenzie McDonald - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Etcheverry (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Etcheverry (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 25%). Etcheverry (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 110. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 60.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Jaime Faria - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
19.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

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