Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Martin Landaluce

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.08
	1.71	2.22
	1.66	2.11	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
55.5%

Martin Landaluce
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Mackenzie McDonald - Martin Landaluce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 126. Landaluce is ranked ATP: 155.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Landaluce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Martin Landaluce - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Cameron Norrie - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Trevor Svajda - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWW
- Martin Landaluce
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Martin Landaluce - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL

Mackenzie McDonald - Martin Landaluce: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide