Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.85	1.43
	2.8	1.43
	3.03	1.43
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.59)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
33.6%

Matteo Berrettini
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	0%	60.9%

Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Berrettini will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches McDonald won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Miami
23.03.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Ilya Ivashka	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Napoli
22.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini	1:2
ATP Auckland
06.01.19	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini	0:2

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