Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mackenzie McDonald		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.22	3.65	Watch
	1.29	3.82
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	3.6 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
74%

Moez Echargui
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackenzie McDonald's performance.

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moez Echargui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mackenzie McDonald - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Echargui will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Echargui (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - McDonald (1.69) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +4 Games - Echargui (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Echargui (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 113. Echargui is ranked ATP: 134.

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, McDonald is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Moez Echargui
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Learner Tien - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Luca Van Assche - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Tom Paris - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Mackenzie McDonald - Moez Echargui