Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mackenzie McDonald		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	11	1.05	Watch
	11	1.04	Watch
	10.98	1.04	Watch
	10	1.05
	12	1.04	Watch
	10	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.83 ↑ (10.16)	1.05 ↓ (1.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
8.8%

Alex De Minaur
91.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.4%

90.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mackenzie McDonald - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 30 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 113. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
ATP United Cup
09.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Tomas Machac	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
09.02.22	Alex De Minaur - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1
ATP Shenzhen
27.09.18	Alex De Minaur - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1
ATP Challenger
16.03.17	Alex De Minaur - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

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