Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Madison Keys		Belinda Bencic

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.17	1.78
	2.09	1.78	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.09	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.9)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
45.9%

Belinda Bencic
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Belinda Bencic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madison Keys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belinda Bencic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Bencic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 18. Bencic is ranked WTA: 12.

Keys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bencic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Keys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Charleston
02.04.26	Madison Keys - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Madison Keys - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Madison Keys - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Belinda Bencic
WTA Charleston
02.04.26	Sara Bejlek - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Dayana Yastremska - Belinda Bencic	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
24.03.26	Belinda Bencic - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Amanda Anisimova - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Diana Shnaider - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
13.03.25	Belinda Bencic - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Charleston
07.04.22	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	0:2
WTA Doha
02.03.21	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	2:0
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.15	Belinda Bencic - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.15	Belinda Bencic - Madison Keys	0:2

Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide