Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Madison Keys		Sonay Kartal

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.72
	1.48	2.74	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.5	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
63.9%

Sonay Kartal
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Madison Keys aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Sonay Kartal aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Madison Keys - Sonay Kartal Predictions

Users Predictions: Madison Keys will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Madison Keys will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 15. Kartal is ranked WTA: 54.

Keys is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kartal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Keys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Keys might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
25.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Karolina Pliskova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW
- Sonay Kartal
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Sonay Kartal - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Sonay Kartal - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Sonay Kartal - Storm Hunter	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
08.02.26	Sonay Kartal - Magda Linette	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
05.07.23	Sonay Kartal - Madison Keys	0:2

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