Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Jan Choinski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.77	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.67 ↓ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
65.1%

Jan Choinski
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Choinski will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Choinski (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 58. Choinski is ranked ATP: 124.

Mpetshi Perricard has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Choinski has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mpetshi Perricard is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Mpetshi Perricard G. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Sebastian Baez	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLL?L
- Jan Choinski
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Quentin Halys - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	James McCabe - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Hugo Grenier - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski	2:1
18.10.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski	2:0

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide