Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MONASTIR (TUNISIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Mai Hontama		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.35
	3.5	1.35
	3.5	1.3
	3.46	1.31	Watch
	3.35	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	1.32 (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
27.7%

Elise Mertens
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Mai Hontama - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Hontama is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mertens is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hontama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mertens is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mertens to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
WTA Monastir
18.10.23	Nadia Podoroska - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
09.10.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
WTA Tokyo
27.09.23	Iga Swiatek - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Mai Hontama - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Monastir
18.10.23	Iryna Shymanovich - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
13.10.23	Martina Trevisan - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Sofya Lansere - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

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