Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3
	1.33	3.02	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	3.06	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.65)	2.88 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
67.6%

Erik Arutiunian
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erik Arutiunian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erik Arutiunian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maks Kasnikowski - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasnikowski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 551. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 547.

Kasnikowski has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arutiunian is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arutiunian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Erik Arutiunian - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.65%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Edward Winter - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Clement Tabur - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Filip Pieczonka - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Erik Arutiunian
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Jangjun Kim - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Patrick Zahraj - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Dante Carlos Teramo - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Maks Kasnikowski - Erik Arutiunian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide