Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - Final

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Jurij Rodionov		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	5.33	1.13	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.16	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.2)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
35.6%

Arthur Gea
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jurij Rodionov's form might have worsened.

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jurij Rodionov - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gea will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 195. Gea is ranked ATP: 241.

Gea is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Christian Langmo - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Henry Bernet - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Masamichi Imamura - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Arthur Gea - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Jurij Rodionov - Arthur Gea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide