Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - Final

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Rei Sakamoto		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.66	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	2.19 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
57.2%

Christoph Negritu
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Rei Sakamoto - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 682. Negritu is ranked ATP: 409.

Sakamoto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Negritu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
28.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Philip Henning - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWW?
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Philip Sekulic - Christoph Negritu	Sekulic P. retired ✺
28.11.24	Benjamin Hassan - Christoph Negritu	Hassan B. retired ✺
27.11.24	Federico Cina - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Christoph Negritu - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Christoph Negritu - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 ??WWW

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