Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday


	Rei Sakamoto		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.72	2.17
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.05)	2.03 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
54%

Kaichi Uchida
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rei Sakamoto's performance.

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaichi Uchida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rei Sakamoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaichi Uchida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rei Sakamoto - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 682. Uchida is ranked ATP: 366.

Recent matches Sakamoto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uchida is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Uchida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Philip Henning - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
24.11.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
22.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WW??L
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Kaichi Uchida - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Kaichi Uchida - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Kaichi Uchida - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLWW

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