Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.52	2.66
	1.55	2.51	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.35 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
60.2%

Rei Sakamoto
39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shintaro Mochizuki have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Rei Sakamoto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 248. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 682.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sakamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. walkover ✺
26.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Ji Sung Nam - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 W?WLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Philip Henning - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
24.11.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWW??

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