Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Getxo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Marcel Zielinski		Carles Hernandez

	1	2
	1.50	2.35
	1.61	2.17
	1.52	2.56
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.50	2.50
	1.50	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcel Zielinski
61%

Carles Hernandez
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcel Zielinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Carles Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcel Zielinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carles Hernandez than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carles Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marcel Zielinski - Carles Hernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zielinski is ranked ATP: 590. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 865.

Zielinski is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hernandez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zielinski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Marcel Zielinski - Enrique Carrascosa Diaz	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Marcel Zielinski - Mario Arce Fernandez	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Marlon Vankan - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Yannik Kelm - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Carles Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Rafael Ymer	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Oscar Weightman - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Maxi Carrascosa Diaz - Carles Hernandez	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Carles Hernandez - Matthieu Chambonniere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

Marcel Zielinski - Carles Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide