Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Genaro Alberto Olivieri

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)	2.7 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
65.5%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genaro Alberto Olivieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genaro Alberto Olivieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Olivieri (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olivieri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 128. Olivieri is ranked ATP: 309.

Barrios Vera in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Olivieri is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Barrios Vera to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Emilio Nava - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0
04.06.22	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0
ITF Tournaments
07.02.20	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0
17.01.18	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	✺

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri