Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.01	1.75	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
46%

Gustavo Heide
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 174. Heide is ranked ATP: 177.

Barrios Vera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Heide is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Canceled
18.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?LWW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Orlando Luz - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Hugo Dellien - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Nicolas Kicker - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Federico Coria - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	0:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
ATP Challenger
22.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
19.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	2:0

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