Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil (Ecuador), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.83	2
	1.75	2.01	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2)	2.05 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
54.5%

Daniel Elahi Galan
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's performance.

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Elahi Galan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Elahi Galan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Galan will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 174. Galan is ranked ATP: 113.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Elahi Galan - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
24.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Canceled
18.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LW?LW
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
07.02.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
ATP Challenger
28.11.20	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Elahi Galan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide