Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Jacopo Vasami		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	2.11	1.65
	2.15	1.75
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	1.91	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.27)	1.71 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Vasami
45.2%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacopo Vasami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jacopo Vasami - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasami will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vasami is ranked ATP: 555. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 123.

Vasami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrios Vera's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vasami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrios Vera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.11%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
25.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Martin Krumich - Jacopo Vasami	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Jacopo Vasami - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide