Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.69	2.28
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	2.28 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
58.9%

Hugo Dellien
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 119. Dellien is ranked ATP: 159.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barrios Vera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barrios Vera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.88%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Johannes Ingildsen	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Arthur Cazaux - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?LWWL
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
22.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Hugo Dellien - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.11.23	Hugo Dellien - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
19.03.22	Hugo Dellien - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
ATP Santiago
26.02.20	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Hugo Dellien	0:2

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Hugo Dellien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide