Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Hugo Dellien		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.82	2.04
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.78	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.26)	2.02 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
53.5%

Dusan Lajovic
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Dellien's performance.

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Dellien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Hugo Dellien - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dellien will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dellien: 59% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Dellien will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 167. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 123.

Dellien has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lajovic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.65%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hugo Dellien - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Hugo Dellien - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL
- Dusan Lajovic
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Facundo Mena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LLWL

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