Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.75
	1.38	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.68	Watch
	1.59	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)	2.62 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
64.3%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's performance.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 2 - 50%). Prado Angelo (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 137. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 259.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Prado Angelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barrios Vera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

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