Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Zsombor Piros		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.72
	1.48	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.52	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	2.61 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
63.8%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zsombor Piros's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zsombor Piros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

Zsombor Piros - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Zsombor Piros will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zsombor Piros will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Piros is ranked ATP: 144. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 120.

Piros has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barrios Vera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Piros could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Piros will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Zsombor Piros - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Tiago Pereira	Canceled ✺
12.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Toby Samuel - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Calvin Hemery - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Johannes Ingildsen	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Arthur Cazaux - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LL?LW

Zsombor Piros - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide