Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Marco Cecchinato		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.69	2.25
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
55%

Luka Pavlovic
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marco Cecchinato - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cecchinato will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cecchinato: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 380. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 346.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Cecchinato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cecchinato will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.17%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Daniel Michalski - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Marco Cecchinato - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Marco Cecchinato - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Julien De Cuyper	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	Pavlovic L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWW?

Marco Cecchinato - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide