Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Alex Molcan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.65
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.75)	1.63 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
42.8%

Alex Molcan
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Molcan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marco Trungelliti - Alex Molcan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 88., and Molcan is ranked ATP: 96..

Trungelliti is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Molcan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Molcan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.33%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Martin Landaluce - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Thiago Monteiro - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Filip Pieczonka - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Sean Cuenin - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Alex Molcan - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Alex Molcan - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Alex Molcan - Benjamin Bonzi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

Marco Trungelliti - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide