The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thiago Monteiro 43.7%
Marco Trungelliti 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
54.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.
Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Thiago Monteiro - Marco Trungelliti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Monteiro is ranked ATP: 282., and Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 99..
Monteiro has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Trungelliti have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Monteiro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Monteiro has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
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