Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VERONA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 July 2023, Tuesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.88	1.4
	3.02	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
33.1%

Hugo Gaston
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Marco Trungelliti - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Trungelliti is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gaston is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gaston to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Gstaad
16.07.23	Zizou Bergs - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Marco Trungelliti - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
10.07.23	Alexander Ritschard - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Marco Trungelliti - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
23.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
21.07.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
18.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
20.05.19	Hugo Gaston - Marco Trungelliti	2:0

Marco Trungelliti - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide